Michigan joins six other toss-up states as polls show a tight race in Fox News' 2024 presidential election forecast.

By Rémy Numa | Fox News

The presidential race is a toss-up as the last key state in Vice President Harris’ column drifts towards former President Trump.

But even as polls show a tight race, some voters are rethinking long-held beliefs. This week’s Power Rankings draws up the new Harris and Trump coalitions and shows how they could propel either candidate to victory.

The answer reminded voters that Harris is the second-in-command in a presidency they say has made their lives worse.

In NBC’s latest national poll, 45% of voters say Biden’s policies have hurt them and their families, while only a quarter say those policies have helped. That is a "net hurt" of 20 points.

Voters view Trump’s policies much more positively, with 44% saying they helped and 31% saying they hurt. In other words, a "net help" of 13 points.

The same poll found Trump’s retrospective job approval is higher than in any of their surveys when he was president.

Harris’ campaign knows that tying the Vice President to Biden isn’t a winner. In her first interview as the Democratic nominee, Harris said it was time to "turn the page on the last decade;" her bus tells voters she offers "a new way forward."

Trump allies have said they will use the clip in new ads, though it’s not yet clear whether that will happen.

Democrats counter that elections are as much about personal qualities as the issues. Harris leads on caring about people like you (+8), and being honest and trustworthy (+11) in a recent New York Times/Siena poll. At the same time, Trump is up three points on being a strong leader, while Harris leads by eight on being fun.

Either way, Harris’ answer was unhelpful to her campaign, which has weeks left to persuade voters that she would do things differently.

For more on this subject, see this Fox News list of stories.